UCB Model update ahead of FY25 results
Following the second guidance upgrade for FY25 (announced 5 December 2025), we update our UCB model ahead of FY25 results. UCB now expects revenue to exceed €7.6bn, representing +24% y/y (previously at least €7bn). The upgraded guidance reflects - next to the continued growth of Rystiggo, Zilbrysq, Fintepla and Evenity – strong performance of Bimzelx, including a strong momentum in hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) and a favourable payer mix in the US. Our model update increases Bimzelx FY25 sales to €2.128m (CSS €2,030m), while we tweak a few estimates for older products. All in all, we land at a...