bpost Analyst call feedback post outlook update & model revision
Following the closing of the press negotiations, bpost expects the adj. EBIT for 2024 to come in between € 165 – € 185m including the press impact. Although no group guidance was available previously, the new guidance comes in below our estimate of € 215m. Next to the press impact, the new outlook also includes further unfavourable market conditions in N-A. Additionally, bpost mentioned that the Staci acquisition is expected to close in the coming weeks. After revisiting our estimates, we reiterate our Buy but lower our TP from € 6.9 to € 5.0psBpost is engaged in the provision of national and international mail and parcels services comprising the collection, transport, sorting and distribution of addressed and non-addressed mail, printed documents, newspapers and parcels. In addition, through its subsidiaries and business units, Co. sells a range of other products and services, including postal, parcels, banking and financial products, express delivery services, document management and related activities. Co. operates through two business units: the Mail & Retail Solutions and the Parcels & International.
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