Cofinimmo An interesting interest rate play
In this company note we upgrade Cofinimmo from Accumulate to Buy. We expect the name to outperform in a decreasing interest rate environment given its relatively high leverage and cheap valuation. We also believe the risk of a dilutive equity raise eased when the FY24 capex decreased from EUR 320m to EUR 250m. The management stays disciplined in its capex program and continues to focus on asset rotation. By taking into account similar fair value corrections as 1H24, we forecast the YE24 debt ratio at 43.6%. We upgrade from Accumulate to Buy and repeat our EUR 75.0 target price.Cofinimmo is a fixed capital real estate investment trust. Co. specializes in rental property. Its core investment segments are office property and nursing and care institutions. The portfolio also includes a Distribution property networks segment. Most of Co.'s assets are in Belgium. The foreign part consists of nursing homes/ clinics and the MAAF agencies network in France and the Pubstone portfolio in the Netherlands. Co.'s operations are organized into four segments: Offices, Nursing homes/Clinics, Distribution property networks, and Public-Private Partnerships.
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