Report
Michiel Declercq

Colruyt Margins are not expected to stay lower for longer

Last week Thursday, Colruyt surprised investors with a very strong outlook upgrade, with the group now banking on a FY23/FY24 EBIT of at least € 418m. This came in significantly above the June guidance of € 300m and kbcse of € 299m. Note that the FY23/24 results will further be boosted by a € 680m positive effect from the sale of Parkwind. Including this effect, we expect Colruyt to report a FY23/24 net profit of close to € 1.0bn. After adjusting our estimates, we believe the EBIT margin will cross the 4% mark again in FY23/24, or much sooner than originally anticipated. Although we still don't think margins will return to the historical 5-6% level in the medium term as competition remains strong, we are of the opinion that the premium versus peers in today's climate is justified given the very low leverage of 0.4x by end FY23/24 (EU peers of 2.4x). We therefore increase our rating from Reduce to Hold, and up our TP from € 29.0 to € 40.0ps.
Underlying
Etablissementen Franz Colruyt N.V.

Etablissements FR Colruyt is engaged in wholesale, food service, distribution of fuels, production of electricity and digital printing. Co. has three operating segments: retail, which relates to stores under Co.'s own management which directly sell to retail customers and bulk consumers; wholesale and foodservice, which supplies to wholesalers, commercial customers and affiliated independent merchants; and other activities, which operates gas stations, engaged in printing and document management and provides alternative energy.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

We are a financial services provider for several types of professional clients, each with distinct needs.

 

Analysts
Michiel Declercq

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from KBC Securities
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch