Report
Michiel Declercq

Colruyt Margins likely to have hit rock bottom, but still a long recovery ahead

Following the announcement of the Parkwind sale, a positive profit warning and the arrival of the first non-family CEO in the company's history, we have seen Colruyt's share price recover by more than 70% since the December 2022 low. Although we believe that margin pressure has reached its bottom in FY22/23, we think there is still a long way to go before Colruyt can regain its historical EBIT margin of more than 5%. To do so, the group will need to find a way to compensate for the c. € 240m increase in labour costs in a market that remains competitive. As we believe the share price performance is getting ahead of the actual margin improvement, with Colruyt now trading at a more than 30% premium versus peers, we lower our rating from Hold to Reduce but increase our TP from € 27.0 to € 29.0ps.
Underlying
Etablissementen Franz Colruyt N.V.

Etablissements FR Colruyt is engaged in wholesale, food service, distribution of fuels, production of electricity and digital printing. Co. has three operating segments: retail, which relates to stores under Co.'s own management which directly sell to retail customers and bulk consumers; wholesale and foodservice, which supplies to wholesalers, commercial customers and affiliated independent merchants; and other activities, which operates gas stations, engaged in printing and document management and provides alternative energy.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

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Analysts
Michiel Declercq

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