Elia Group FY25 underlying result in line, but strong German outlook FY26
The FY25 group net profit stood at 556.6m, a 32.1% increase yoy vs. our 525.9m expectation. This was mainly thanks to tax compensations in Germany and at the holding level. Net profit grew 58% at the 50Hz division to 388m vs. 368m expected that benefited from a higher 10y bund. ETB came in line with our expectation at 272m vs. 274m. The non-regulated division however realised a net profit of 5.3m vs. a net loss of 12.8m expected thanks to 44m tax compensation. Elia initiated a strong FY26 outlook for Net Group Profit between EUR 690m and 740m vs our expectation of 603m. The outlook is now based on a 10y OLO of 3.2% vs. 3.1% previously and a 10y bund of 2.8% vs. 2.5%. In Germany the outlook is particularly strong thanks to high Capex remuneration and Interest capitalisation. We expect Elia to continue its strong performance as it has been a good hiding place in the current market uncertainty. Grids have become part of the Datacenter gold-rush. We maintain our rating and target price. Conference call at 10h30.Elia System Operator develops, operates and maintains very-high-voltage (380 kV, 220 kV and 150 kV) and high-voltage (70 kV, 36 kV and 30 kV) networks, providing its customers with consultancy and engineering services. Whether in Belgium, Germany or elsewhere in Europe or the U.S., Co. ensures that electricity flows reliably from energy producers to distributors and large corporate customers. Co.'s main activities include transmission operator, system operator and market facilitator, developing and maintaining grid infrastructure, connecting electrical installations to grids, providing transparent access to grids, while taking initiatives to improve electricity market operations.
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