In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...
Elia Group is ramping up towards annual capex of c.€7bn, which will act as a catalyst for the RAB growth averaging c.23% in the coming years. Regulatory frameworks in Belgium and Germany are set until FY27 and FY28, providing a high degree of earnings visibility. With €2.2bn in equity financing successfully executed, Elia is now preparing a follow-up during FY26-28 for €1.8-2.3bn via so-called non-dilutive equity financing. We think the high-end of this range will be needed. In this report we al...
ABN AMRO: NFLI reaching c.30% level in its ABN stake reduction. ABN AMRO: Relaunch of Belgium private banking using MeesPierson brand. Elia: FY25 profit outlook unchanged, minor reduction in capex. Greenyard: Disappointing 2H24/25, guidance lowered. NN Group, ASR: Parliament votes against amendment to Dutch Pension Reform
In its 1Q25 trading update, Elia confirmed its FY25 net group profit outlook between EUR 490m and 540m. Elia now uses a lower base rate for the GE regulatory return of 2.30% and 2.80% for ETB. At the FY24 results the Capex FY24-28 was raised by 1.6bn to 31.6bn. 50Hz typically has a higher ROE (8-10%) vs. ETB (7-8%). WindGrid is evaluating Forward Power Offshore, which holds a 25% stake in Leading Light Wind, a project currently facing uncertainty due to executive orders from the Trump Administr...
A director at Elia Group SANV bought 2,580 shares at 90.310EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
This week, Elia completed its EUR 2.2bn equity package. An earlier 850m private placement (PIPE) through key investors (ATLAS Infrastructure, BlackRock, Canada Pension Plan and Publi-T) was completed with a 1.35bn rights issue at the same issue price 61.88/share. This means that all investors had access to the same conditions. In this note we re-initiate with a new target price of 95 Euro. This equates to a 20% premium the RAB25. While the dilution of the equity raise is higher than expected, s...
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the panels. In total 21 companies were presented in group meetings and/or panels. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue either physical or virtual (only panels). The 2 panels made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Wednesday afternoon concentrated 4 experts from Logistic companies (CTP, Montea, VGP, WDP) for an interesting discussion on brownfields: " an answer to the scarcity of...
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