Immobel After the through, increase to Buy
Yesterday Immobel issued a trading update that gives comfort in the FY26 bond repayment of EUR 125.0m which was the biggest short term risk of the investment case. This triggered us to increase our TP from EUR 23.0 to EUR 28.0 with a BUY recommendation (prev. accumulate). The reasoning is explained in this new company note. We still don't think the dividend will come back in the next 2 years as the focus remains deleveraging. However, the share price reflected a dilutive capital raise which has now been avoided. There are clear signs of the Paris and Brussels markets opening up again which we believe to materialise in FY26. We don't think the profitability of the high point in the cycle will come back in the next three years. We are however passed the lowest point and if you don't want to miss out on the upcycle, now is the time to buy.Compagnie Immobiliere de Belgique SA (Immobel) is a Belgium-based company active in the real estate development sector. The Company operates in three lines of business in Belgium, Luxembourg and Poland, such as office properties, the residential sector and land banking. Its clients include: the state, the European Union (EU) and/or institutional investors for office complexes; private clients for residential property and land purchases, as well as private clients looking to invest in housing. The Company's main projects in Belgium include Belair, Black Pearl, Parc Seny, Gateway, Bella Vita and Chastre Rue Du Chene. Its main projects in Luxembourg include Westside Village, Green Hill and Galerie Kons. Finally its main projects in Poland include Cedet, CBD One and Okraglak.
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