Proximus Dividend reset, value intact
At the end of February, Proximus presented its new 2026–2028 ambitions during a CMD. While the FCF outlook surprised positively, driven by lower capex spending, this was overshadowed by a dividend cut from €0.60 per share to €0.30 per share, with a gradual recovery to €0.50 per share by 2028. Although the dividend cut was unexpected, we had previously flagged that the dividend was not covered by free cash flow. As we view the dividend cut as a logical step that does not impact our valuation, we believe the negative share price reaction is overdone. We further believe that a gradual step-down in fiber capex through 2030 and beyond could support a gradual re-rating of the share price. We therefore upgrade our rating from Accumulate to Buy and increase our target price from €8.7 to €9.5 per share.Proximus supplies integrated telecommunications services on the Belgian market. Co.'s activities are divided into four segments: Consumer Business Unit (CBU), which sells voice products and services, internet and television, on fixed and mobile networks, to residential customers; Enterprise Business Unit (EBU), which caters to professional customers; Service Delivery Engine and Wholesale, which centralizes all the network and IT services and costs, provides services to CBU and EBU and sells these services to other telecom and cable operators; and International Carrier Services, which focuses on international carrier activities.
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