Report
Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Model update – FCF generation allows for dividends and growth investments

We have updated our model following yesterday's release of better than expected FY22 results. Following the FY23 guidance of a lower (pro-forma) adjusted EBITDA, we have lowered our FY23 adj EBITDA forecast by c. 0.2% with our new forecast representing an 8% decline vs FY22. As we are c. 6% below consensus, we do consider consensus to be too optimistic. After the successful exchange offer with Picanol, Machines & Technologies is consolidated as from January 2023 onwards. Tessenderlo now is an even more diversified group with a strong balance sheet and solid FCF generation which we assume will be mainly put at work for further growth projects, although the higher than expected dividend represents a 2.6% dividend yield. Valuation is attractive and we maintain our Accumulate rating and € 38 TP, which is the average between our DCF and SOTP model.
Underlying
Tessenderlo Group N.V.

Tessenderlo Group is engaged in providing solutions for food, agriculture, water management and use and re-use of natural resources. Co. has three operating segments: Agro, which is engaged in the production and marketing of crop nutrients (liquid crop fertilizers and Sulfate of Potash) and crop protection products; Bio-Valorization, which combines Co.'s activities in animal by-product processing, comprised of Akiolis (rendering, production and sales of proteins and fats) and PB Gelatins (production and sales of gelatins); and Industrial Solutions, with activities including the production and sales of plastic pipes systems and water treatment chemicals.

Provider
KBC Securities
KBC Securities

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Analysts
Wim Hoste

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