Umicore Revising Battery Materials scenario: lower but no exit
Whilst awaiting the outcome of the ongoing strategy review for the Battery Materials business, we decided to take a more cautious approach and cut our FY30 CAM volume estimate from 250 GWh to 200 GWh, which compares to the previous company target of 400 GWh and the previous order book of 270 GWh. We do expect Umicore to continue to invest in Battery Materials, albeit at a much lowered pace, and see room for NMC outside of China on the back of sustainability, geopolitical and security of supply reasons. Even with lowered forecasts, vehicle electrification remains an important LT growth theme for Umicore. The low visibility and long time horizon to bring Battery Materials to value creation territory prompt us to revise our target price from € 19 to € 14, whilst maintaining our Accumulate rating.Umicore is global player in the materials technology and recycling industries. Co. focuses on application areas such as chemistry, materials science, metallurgy and recycling. Co.'s business model comprises four segments: Catalysis, Performance Materials, Energy Materials and Recycling. Catalysis focuses on the abatement of global automotive emissions; Performance Materials focuses on materials that help develop more sophisticated and safer products; Energy Materials produces materials used in the production and storage of clean energy including rechargeable batteries and photovoltaics; and Recycling treats complex waste streams containing precious and other non-ferrous metals.
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