Report
Dave Meats
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Morningstar | Antero Produces NGLs and Natural Gas in Appalachia

Antero Resources produces natural gas from the Marcellus Shale in West Virginia and the Utica Shale in Ohio. It is concentrating on areas with a relatively high liquids content; natural gas liquids and condensate account for about 30% of its production. This was a headwind during 2014-16 because of weak liquids pricing. But the outlook is brighter, owing to increasing domestic and export demand for NGLs. Antero, with about 40% of the entire basin's undeveloped liquids-rich acreage, is better positioned to capture this upside than most of its peers.The company also benefits from very strong realized natural gas prices. It has a comprehensive hedge portfolio that limits its exposure to benchmark prices. Hedges currently run out to 2023, and 100% and 60% of expected volumes are protected in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The firm is also managing its basis exposure via its extensive firm transport portfolio, which enables it to sidestep bottlenecks and sell 90% of its output in premium markets outside the basin. Its gas has a high heat content, even after stripping out the NGLs and condensate from its production, which supports a further price uplift. The result is that while many gas producers contend with steep discounts to Nymex, Antero is consistently earning a slight premium.Securing strong prices also affects Antero on the expense side, however, as its transport and marketing costs are relatively high (especially when compared with dry gas producers that don't have to worry about processing costs). In 2018, its EBITDA margin was about $1.37 per thousand cubic feet of equivalent. In addition, finding and development costs averaged $0.53/mcfe (based on extensions and discoveries only and excluding revisions to proved reserves). In 2019, the company expects unit costs to remain around the same level, based on the midpoints of guided ranges.
Underlying
Antero Resources Corporation

Antero Resources is an oil and natural gas company engaged in the exploration, development and production of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil properties. The company focuses on unconventional reservoirs, which can generally be characterized as fractured shale formations. The company's drilling operations are focused in the Marcellus Shale and Utica Shale of the Appalachian Basin. The company's industry segments are: the exploration, development, and production of natural gas, NGLs, and oil; marketing of excess firm transportation capacity; and the gathering and processing of natural gas. All of the company's operations are conducted in the United States.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Dave Meats

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