Report
Dan Baker
EUR 147.86 For Business Accounts Only

Raising Near-Term Commodity Price Forecasts, but Long-Term Outlook Unchanged

After raising our near-term commodity price forecasts and revising our foreign exchange assumptions to take into account the weakening renminbi, we have increased no-moat Zijin Mining’s fair value estimate to HKD 2.34 (CNY 2.08 per share) from HKD 1.92 (CNY 1.68 per share), based on higher cash flow estimates. However, we continue to view the shares as overvalued, given our bearish long-term outlook for metal prices, which is unchanged.
Mined commodities and mining stocks have seen massive gains...
Underlying
Zijin Mining Group Co. Ltd. Class A

Zijin Mining Group Company Limited is a China-based company principally engaged in the exploration, mining, smelting and sales of gold and other metal minerals. The Company's main products include gold products, copper products, lead and zinc products, iron products, silver products, among others. Its gold products mainly include the mineral gold, standard gold bullions, gold ingots and gold concentrates, among others. The Company is also involved in the geographic survey businesses through its subsidiaries.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Dan Baker

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