Report
Patrick Artus

A succession of urgent economic policy measures

We look at the case of France, but this analysis could appl y to all European Union or OECD countries. We believe there is a chronological sequence of urgent economic policy measures : The rise in unemployment and bankruptcies caused by the lockdown must be limited as much as possible. This has been done, with short-time working schemes, government loan guarantees, tax deferral s and cancellation s , and aid for the hardest -hit sectors; This summer, a large incentive to hire youth will have to be introduced, without which the problems facing companies will result in young labour market entrants failing to find work; After the summer, companies in the sectors the hardest hit by the crisis and by the new health standards resulting from COV I D will need to be helped: sector aid, compensation for higher costs due to the health standards, extension of short-time working schemes; Before the year’s end, the additional corporate debt will have to be converted into equity (or quasi-equity) to prevent a debt overhang from weakening investment and employment.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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