Report
Patrick Artus

Are financial market developments leading indicators of growth?

We seek to determine whether or not some financial market developments, such as changes in: The slope of the yield curve; Credit spreads; Share prices, are leading indicators of future growth (in the cases of the United States and the euro zone). We find that in the recent period (2010-2019), credit spreads and share prices have held useful information on future growth but the slope of yield curves has not.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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