Report
Patrick Artus

Are we able to explain the considerable decline in the real long-term interest rate in OECD countries?

The real long-term interest rate in OECD countries has declined sharply since the 1980s. What accounts for this decline? It has been much sharper than the decline in potential growth . We can imagin e the following explanations: A larger rise in private savings than in fiscal deficits; A small investment need; The highly expansionary monetary policies; A decline in uncertainty over future interest rates and therefore a fall in the term premium. The pertinent explanations seem to be the rise in private savings, the decline in the investment rate and the expansionary monetary policies.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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