Report
Dirk Schumacher

ECB preview: taking a breather

After the announcement of the new strategy and the adjustment of its forward guidance, it is time for the ECB to take a breather. We consequently don’t expect any change at the September meeting . A majority of Governing Council members will dismiss the high August inflation numbers as a temporary phase, mostly driven by one-off factors. The updated staff projections are likely to confirm this assessment , showing inflation in 2023 to be well below 2%. In light of the tapering discussion in the US, the ECB will want to strongly signal its independence from developments on the other side of the Atlantic. The ECB will stress that it will not hesitate to adjust an y policy instrument to ensure an accommodative policy stance. Any discussion about the timing when to end purchases under the PEPP and potential changes to the APP program will be therefore postponed.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Dirk Schumacher

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