Report
Patrick Artus

Euro zone: There is perhaps no discipline concerning fiscal policies

The discipline weighing on euro-zone countries’ fiscal policies and which prevents governments from maintaining excessive fiscal deficits may have two origins: Rules - based discipline (by the euro zone’s budgetary regulations); Market discipline (by the reaction of interest rates to excessive fiscal deficits). It is possible that neither of these two disciplines exists in the euro zone : the sanctions that could force governments to comply with the budgetary rules are not applied or are not credible; market discipline exists only if investors believe that a euro - zone country can default, but would a default be acceptable for the ECB and for the other euro-zone countries? If neither of the two disciplines exists, fiscal deficits can potentially persist or become large again in the euro zone.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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