Labor Market Snapshot: A Tenuous Equilibrium
“ In the labor market, indicators suggest that conditions may be stabilizing after a period of gradual softening. ” -Fed Chair Jerome Powell “ Make no mistake—official government data…was positive for January and a very encouraging sign of a turnaround. But I will say again, one month is not a trend, and that is especially true after the kind of labor market that limped along in 2025. ” -Fed Governor Christopher Waller After weakening through most of 2025, the most important labor indicators, the unemployment rate and payroll growth, have shown signs of stabilization in recent reports. Whil...