Report
Patrick Artus

Expansionary economic policy: Protection but also a risk

Economic policy in OECD countries is expansionary : fiscal policy is becoming more expansionary; monetary policy is highly expansionary. There is an ambiguous relationship between expansionary economic policy and the risk of a recession: On the one hand, the expansionary economic policy protects against a recession ( an expansionary fiscal policy stimulates demand; an expansionary monetary policy keeps borrowers solvent); But on the other hand, if a recession occurs anyway , then because all the economic policy space was used up before the recession, it will not be possible to make economic policies more expansionary, and the recession will be severe. Either a recession is avoided or, if it is not avoided, it is severe.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch