Report
Patrick Artus

France: Is it a good idea to abandon the strategy of supporting companies and to instead start supporting consumers?

At his press conference on 25 April, president Macron clearly announced a change of strategy, from supporting companies (reduction in social contributions, corporate tax rate cuts, labour market reforms, cuts in taxes on capital) , which started in 2017, to boosting purchasing power (tax cut for households following the increase in the activity bonus and the reduction in social contributions, r e- indexation of pensions, tax-exempt year-end premium, etc. ). Is it efficient in the present situation to switch from a strategy of supporting companies to a strategy to supporting consumers? We do not believe so . The reasons are as follows: Supply side problems are still evident (low skills and hiring difficulties, low productivity gains, falling industrial production capacity); Corporate profitability is not completely restored, the corporate tax burden remains very high. Stimulating demand: Therefore deprives the stimulation of supply of any possible available fiscal leeway; May be rather ineffective in stimulating activity if supply constraints are significant.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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