Report
Patrick Artus

France: No other solution than a very large fiscal deficit?

The French government now face s : Calls for additional resources for education, healthcare, the police and justice; Calls for an increase in household purchasing power ( higher welfare benefits, tax cuts), which has already driven up the fiscal deficit in 2019; A considerable borrowing requirement linked to the energy transition, which cannot all come from the private sector ( power grid, assistance for housing renovation , future technologies, support for the purchasing power of low-income households affected by the increase in the CO 2 price, etc.); Support for industries affected by the energy transition (automotive) and their employees; The need to make the pension reform acceptable; International tax competition, which is putting downward pressure on a number of taxes; The need to raise the level of housing construction. Th ere can only be one consequence to this list of needs : a significant and lasting increase in France’s fiscal deficit, and therefore a growing risk of serious problems in the event interest rates rise in the future.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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