Report
Patrick Artus

French economic policy after COVID needs a step change, not changes at the margins

Recessions lead to a fall in potential growth. Given its low level before the COVID crisis, France’s potential production could become extremely low after the crisis (0.5% per year?), which would create many problems. To lift France’s potential growth, given the severity of its structural problems, the country needs a step change in economic policy and not just improvements at the margin s of existing policies. For example: The c reati on of a universal income targeted at the most vulnerable, including young people; A s harp and rapid increase in the retirement age to obtain a significant reduction in public pension spending, making it possible to significantly - not marginally - lower corporate taxes; A skills shock , brought about by increasing the capacity of the training system and getting young dropouts back into employment or training; Partner ship between the state and large companies in industries of the future, with large-scale public and private financing based on the DARPA model in the United States or METI in Japan.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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