Report
Patrick Artus

Germany has become different since the Grand Coalition

Since the CDU-SPD Gra nd Coalition (Gro K o) was formed in December 2013, Germany's economy has become really different: Rapid growth in wages and unit labour costs, inter alia due to the introduction of the minimum wage; Skewing of income distribution in favour of employees and declining profitability; Rapid deterioration in cost competitiveness, affecting Germany's market shares and the vigour of manufacturing production capacity; Household consumption replacing investment and exports as the growth driver. Germany has therefore shifted from a supply-side to a demand-side economy, which has slowed its growth - and it is only because of the rise in the household savings rate and the restrictive fiscal policy that its foreign trade has not deteriorated. But this transition from a supply-side to a demand-side economy is worrying for the future, given the deterioration in the conditions for the supply of goods and services.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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