Report
Patrick Artus

How high can European stock market indices rise?

S everal ideas offer a guide : As long-term interest rates are permanently lower than growth rates, share prices (we look at the Euro Stoxx and the CAC) are not limited on the upside by fundamental equity values; The prospect of a sustained economic recovery is leading to both expectations of rapid earnings growth and a decline in risk aversion; So there is no reason to not use the portfolio rebalancing model: at equilibrium, stock market indices must increase as much as the money supply (for non-bank economic agents). This points to upside potential in stock market indices, from their April 2021 level, of: 5% for the Euro Stoxx; 16% for the CAC.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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