Report
Patrick Artus

Is an economic slowdown without a falling equity market possible?

For a n economic slowdown not to trigger a decline in the equity market (which is equity investors’ main concern currently), the following conditions must be met: The long-term interest rate must remain lower than the growth rate, despite the contraction in growth (this will be the case in OECD countries); The low level of interest rates must drive investors to switch to equities (which we have seen since the start of 2019); Despite the low unemployment level at the end of the expansion period, a small rise in unit labour costs must keep profitability strong (which is the case currently, with some concern about the case of the euro zone).
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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