Report
Patrick Artus

Is China really the world’s growth engine?

When calculated mechanically, China’s contribution to global growth is large , at around 33% (one - third). But a more nuanced approach is required: does China contribute to other countries ’ growth ? This is not certain: China’s very high savings rate results in weak consumption in China. A lower savings rate in China would drive up consumption and imports, which would benefit other countries; Given its controls on capital outflows, a portion of China’s savings finance s inefficient investments in China , where investment in construction is abnormally high , instead of financing efficient investments in the rest of the world. China imports too little and prefers to finance poor-quality domestic investments instead of good-quality investments abroad: from this point of view , it is not the world’s growth engine.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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