Report
Patrick Artus

Is public debt a risk-free asset?

In the simplest theory, public debt is a risk-free asset because: A country can always increase the tax burden or reduce public spending to become solvent again; A country can always monetise its public debt (use seignorage). Public debt is no longer a risk-free asset and there may be a default on this debt in countries where both of these two statements are false , because: The tax burden is already so high that it is impossible to increase it further; The population’s taste for public spending is so strong that governments refrain from reducing it; The country does not have its own central bank or the rules prohibit it from monetising public debt. This situation where a default on the public debt is possible in theory is perhaps found in some euro-zone countries such as France and Italy.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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