Report
Patrick Artus

Is the euro zone the last mercantilist region?

The United States is a fairly closed economy and has a chronic external deficit; China is an increasingly closed economy where growth now depends primarily on domestic demand. Only the euro zone still has a de facto mercantilist strategy: highly open economy with a growing dependence on global trade, a strategy of exchange rate depreciation and a chronic external surplus. Like China since 2013, the euro zone will have to abandon this strategy, given companies’ return to regional value chains and consumers’ growing national preference. T his will require economic policy in the euro zone to stimulate domestic demand, tak e back its savings, reshor e production and accept an appreciation of the exchange rate.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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