Report
Patrick Artus

Lasting income loss and contract renegotiations

The COVID crisis will in all likelihood lead to a lasting loss of income in OECD countries. The problem is that a large number of contracts had been signed when this unexpected income loss took place and could not be renegotiated. For example: Loan contracts between the government, companies or households and banks or investors; Employment contracts in countries with a high degree of employment protection; Rental leases. The income loss is then borne solely by contracts that can be renegotiated: Short-term employment contracts in countries with a low degree of employment protection; Dividend payments to shareholders; Subcontracting contracts between companies; Employment contracts that the young should have had without the crisis and which will not be signed. In a “ flexible ” economy, all contracts could be renegotiated in the event of an unexpected extreme shock.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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