Natixis - Ne soyons pas trop optimistes sur le taux de croissance de 2021 en France

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Natixis

Patrick Artus

Ne soyons pas trop optimistes sur le taux de croissance de 2021 en France

Les prÃ©visions de croissance disponibles pour 2021 pour la France sont assez optimistesÂ : 7% pour la Banque de France, 8% pour le gouvernement franÃ§ais, 7,3% pour le FMI, 7,4% pour la Commission EuropÃ©enne, 7,7% pour lâ€™OCDE. Faut-il croire Ã une croissance de 7 Ã 8% en France pour 2021Â ? On doit sâ€™inquiÃ©terÂ : de la montÃ©e du chÃ´mage et des faillites, qui nâ€™a pas encore commencÃ©Â ; de la remontÃ©e de lâ€™inflation et de la faiblesse des salairesÂ ; des difficultÃ©s et de lâ€™excÃ¨s dâ€™endettement des entreprisesÂ ; des dÃ©localisations provoquÃ©es par le niveau Ã©levÃ© des coÃ»ts de production.

20/07/2020 5 FR

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Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

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Analysts

Patrick Artus

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Ne soyons pas trop optimistes sur le taux de croissance de 2021 en France

Mexico – Trip Notes

July CPI Review: Goods Prices Remain Behaved

How sensitive are French banks to Sovereign ratings and spreads ?

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