OECD countries: There may no longer be recessions, but industry still gives rise to cycles
The very low interest rates are maintaining the solvency of all groups of economic agents in OECD countries, which probably rules out a recession. But there may still be cycles linked to the saturation of demand , which, a s we are seeing today, stem naturally from industry (saturation of demand for cars, capital goods, etc.) and not services, which continue to grow quite steadily.