Report
Patrick Artus

Should the euro zone’s fiscal rules be relaxed?

Italy’s coalition government wants to be able to conduct a more expansionary fiscal policy (officially a fiscal deficit of 2.4% of GDP in 2019, when in reality it will be close to 3% of GDP, while 0.8% was forecast). It will be very hard and painful for France to get its fiscal deficit down from 2.8% of GDP in 2019 to 0.5% in 2022 ( a commit ment it has made ). Meanwhile, for the euro zone as a whole excluding Germany , the structural fiscal deficit (adjusted for the economic cycle) has risen again since 2017. This raises an important question: should the euro zone’s fiscal rules be relaxed and the countries be allowed to run higher fiscal deficits? We weigh up the arguments for and against relaxing the fiscal rules.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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