Report
Patrick Artus

The “factor price frontier” after a shock to commodity prices

Since the start of 2021, OECD countries have experienced a very drastic rise in commodity prices. It is important to bear in mind what this rise in commodity prices entails. A t equilibrium, the economy must be at the “production factor price frontier”. If the relative price of commodities rises, then inevitably: Either the real return on capital falls (in this case capital is substituted for commodities); Or the return on labour falls (in which case labour is substituted for commodities). It is impossible to avoid both consequences of a rise in the relative price of commodities: at best , one is traded off for the other . For the time being, we see that real wages in particular have fallen, even more so in the United States than in the euro zone, unlike the real return on capital.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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