Report
Patrick Artus

The German economy is being severely weakened by shocks on both demand and supply sides

The German economy ha s now weakened significantly , which is not surprising because Germany has been hit by: A negative demand shock, due to the global decline in demand for cars and industrial capital goods and the sharp rise in German household savings; A negative supply shock, due to the decline in Germany’s cost competitiveness, leading to a significant decline in Germany’s market share in global trade. Germ any is therefore being weakened on both the demand side and the supply side . Moreover, this weakening will persist into the long term , as correcting it will require a change to the country’s productive specialisation (capital goods, cars), a correction of its precautionary savings and an improvement in its cost competitiveness.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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