Report
Patrick Artus

The number of possible causes of crises has only risen in OECD countries

The COVID crisis is of course a particular crisis, because it is a health crisis and is therefore largely exogenous. But when we look at “endogenous” crises, we see that the number of possible causes of crises has only risen : In the past, crises were only caused by rising interest rates in response to inflation; Or by balance - of - payments crises (due to sudden capital outflows) , of which there have been many ; Then asset price bubbles began to burst, giving rise to banking crises; And now, one must add to this ever-present list the risk of: A social crisis, given the skewing of income distribution against wage earners; A monetary crisis, given the risk of a loss of confidence in money caused by excessive money creation; A public debt crisis, due to extremely rapid growth in public debt ratios.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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