Report
Patrick Artus

The questions for French fiscal policy in 2021

What fiscal policy should France conduct in 2021? This raises three main questions: Is it possible to continue to have a fiscal deficit that offsets the full loss of GDP for households and companies, like in 2020? The answer is probably yes, as the ECB will continue to buy government bonds; Is it better to stimulate household income and consumption, or primarily employment and investment? French households have accumulated huge savings, so it seems pointless to transfer more income to them . The more effective idea would be to stimulate employment with supply-side policies so as to restore household confidence; Is there a limit to public debt that finances efficient investments? The answer is no, given the level of very-long-term interest rates, the challenge being how to pick efficient investments.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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