The real concern for France (and other OECD countries) is that the structural fiscal deficit is a very large part of the total fiscal deficit
Two-thirds of France's fiscal deficit in 2021 is a structural fiscal deficit, which will not disappear when full employment returns. When comparing France with other OECD countries on this point, we see that France is in the middle of the pack : all OECD countries, in particular the United States, have a high weight of the structural fiscal deficit in the total deficit in 2021. It is obviously very difficult to reduce a structural fiscal deficit. If France’s economy remains at the level of 2021, even if the long-term interest rate in France remains 300 basis points lower than nominal growth, France’s public debt ratio will rise by 3 percentage points of GDP per year, which will inevitably lead to a public debt crisis.