Report
Patrick Artus

The theoretical reason why long-term interest rates cannot rise

We can question the link between long-term interest rates, savings, fiscal deficits, expected inflation, short-term interest rates, etc., but there is a theoretical reason why long-term interest rates cannot rise significantly today . The money supply, due to the highly expansionary monetary policies conducted, is very high and will remain so. At equilibrium, the demand for money from different economic agents must therefore also be very high. And this is only possible if there is no penalty for holding money relative to bonds, hence the need for long-term interest rates to remain very low.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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