Report
Patrick Artus

The triple contraction in demand if central banks combat inflation

If central banks really combat inflation and raise real interest rates sharply, there will be a triple contraction in demand for goods and services: Directly, due to higher real interest rates; Through negative wealth effects due to a fall in asset prices; Through the inability to keep fiscal policies expansionary if real interest rates normalise. The cost of combating inflation in terms of lost activity and jobs would (will?) therefore be very high.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch