Report
Patrick Artus

United States: The risk of a lack of coordination between fiscal policy and monetary policy

There is a risk of now seeing in the United States a repeat of a situation already s een in the early 1980s with Ronald Reagan and Paul Volcker: a lack of coordination between fiscal policy and monetary policy. The Trump administration wants to conduct an expansionary fiscal policy at full employment, to try to extend the expansion period; but this situation of overheating could lead the Federal Reserve to adopt a more restrictive monetary policy, leading to a lack of coordination between the two policies. Such a remake of the early 1980s could lead to an excessive fiscal deficit in the United States, high interest rates, an overvaluation of the dollar and a weakening of growth.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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