Report
Patrick Artus

What are the dangers of the Japanese model?

The Japanese model is spreading to other OECD countries: it is therefore useful to look at its dangers. What are the components of the Japanese model? Significant skewing of income distribution at the expense of employees; A sharp rise in the public debt, as the fiscal deficit offsets the small wage increases; An ultra-expansionary monetary policy (very low interest rates, considerable money creation) that enables the surge in the public debt ratio. What are the dangers of the Japanese model? A currency crisis due to capital outflows caused by the very expansionary monetary policy; this has not happened (except temporarily) in Japan; A substitution of inefficient public spending for household spending; A chronic excess surplus; companies cannot invest the profits they take from households through the fall in wages.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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