Report
Patrick Artus

What are the real risks for the euro zone?

What are the risks that should truly be feared for the euro zone, among the various possible risks? The risk of a public debt crisis and of a break-up of the euro, set in motion by a sharp rise in long-term interest rates, is likely to be kept at bay by the ECB’s interventions and by Europe’s mutualisation of a portion of the fiscal deficits; The risk of a political crisis linked to an anti-European reaction in some countries also seems able to be defused by the observation of the very positive role played by Europe (debt mutualisation, recovery plan) and the ECB; The risk of a social crisis, in contrast, is greater: many economic sectors will be in great difficulty and employment in these sectors will fall; the young will be particularly hard-hit by the crisis; workers on short-term employment contracts already have been .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch