Report
Patrick Artus

What consequences of a return to “social-democratic capitalism”?

There is currently strong pressure from public opinion in OECD countries for a return to “social-democratic capitalism”. This form of capitalism, in place from the 1950s to 1970s, was characterised by a fair income distribution between wage earners and company shareholders, a moderate required return on capital and low income inequality. What would be the consequences of a return to “social-democratic capitalism” today? W age incomes would certainly be higher, there would be more consumption and inequality would decline. But there would also be a drastic shock to financial markets and economies after 40 years of “liberal Anglo-Saxon capitalism”: Collapse in share prices due to a fall in corporate profitability; Increase in interest rates due to resurgen t inflation; Leading to a serious risk of a debt crisis, as current debt levels only work with the very low level of interest rates under “liberal capitalism” , which are made possible by the absence of inflation.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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