Report
Patrick Artus

What differences when the yield curve is flat?

The monetary policy conducted i n all OECD countries has led to a flat and sometimes even inverted yield curve. In a situation of low potential growth and high debt, this situation of flat yield curves is likely to endure. What will be the result of this development? Weak bank profitability; Savers switching to money market assets, which means that banks increasingly have to transform savings and therefore take risk, at a time when their profitability is weak ; High valuation of long-term assets (equities, real estate, etc.) since investors switch to such assets given the low return on bonds. The flat yield curve is a consequence, and not a cause of the decline in growth. It has an ambiguous effect on demand: it stimulates it through wealth effects, but it makes it more difficult for banks to finance the economy.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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