Report
Patrick Artus

What mechanisms could bring back inflation?

A return of inflation in OECD countries would have considerable effects: rise in interest rates, capital losses on bond portfolios, loss of borrower solvency, fall in the prices of assets linked to interest rates. Inflation could be brought back by: In the United States, a significant change to labour market policies, in particular if Elizabeth Warren won the presidential election; A rise in oil prices resulting from either considerable geopolitical tensions in the Middle East or regulations targeting shale oil production in the United States; The appearance of inflationary mechanisms: the skewing of economies towards services, corporate concentration, the return to regional value chains.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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