Report
Where will the rise in long-term interest rates in the United States and the euro zone end?
Between the end of 2023 and 4 March 2024, the 10-year swap rate rose from 3.70% to 4.10% in the United States, and from 2.40% to 2.70% in the euro zone. To find out where this rise in long-term interest rates will end, we need to look at: The short-term outlook for inflation and monetary policies; The medium-term outlook for inflation and monetary policies; Factors that influence real long-term interest rates ( the savings-investment equilibrium in particular). We believe that the levels that long-term interest rates reached at the beginning of March 2024 in the United States and the euro zone are still abnormally low.
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Natixis
Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.
Patrick Artus
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