Report
Patrick Artus

Why is the euro zone unable to rebalance savings and investment?

In the United States, expansionary economic policies have led to a chronic external deficit, i.e. investment financed by the rest of the world’s savings. T he euro zone, meanwhile, now has a sizeable external surplus, i.e. a portion of the euro zone’s savings finances investment in the rest of the world, resulting in a significant loss of growth. Why is the euro zone unable to rebalance savings and investment and eliminate its external surplus? Probably because: The prospect of population ageing results in a high household savings rate despite the very low interest rates; The euro zone’s stringent fiscal rules remain the same despite its very low interest rates; Corporate investment is less responsive to a fall in interest rates than in the United States. A solution other than keeping interest rates very low will therefore have to be found to rebalance savings and investment in the euro zone.
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

Other Reports from Natixis

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch