Report
Patrick Artus

Will Europe and the United States benefit from Asia-Pacific’s dynamism?

The creation of an Asia-Pacific free-trade area (RCEP) will contribute to Asia-Pacific enjoying much more vigorous growth than that of the United States or the euro zone over the next 20 years, as Asia-Pacific’s productivity continues to catch up. Asia-Pacific will clearly become the engine of the global economy. Will Europe and the United States benefit from this? When we look at euro-zone and US exports to Asia-Pacific (to the RCEP countries) and the Asia-Pacific growth model, we see that: Asia-Pacific is a relatively closed economy whose imports are growing slowly; US and euro-zone exports to Asia-Pacific are small and growing at a low rate on average. Of course, European and US companies can produce and sell in Asia-Pacific, but this will have little effect on well-being in the euro zone and the United States. So there is little for the United States and Europe to gain from Asia-Pacific’s dynamism .
Provider
Natixis
Natixis

Based across the world’s leading financial centers, Natixis CIB Research offers an integrated view of the markets. The team provides support to inform Natixis clients’ investment and hedging decisions across all asset classes.

 

Analysts
Patrick Artus

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