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Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Philip Burnett
  • Philip Burnett
EUR 8654.00
SATS EchoStar Corpor...

DBS Makes Interest Payments

Earlier this week, we flagged that the next piece of news from EchoStar would be about whether DBS was making interest payments that were originally due on July 1st. This morning, the company filed an 8-K stating that it has made the payments, thereby avoiding an "event of default".

SATS ECHOSTAR CORPORATION CLASS A
3h / 51m 3h / 51m 1 EN
James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer
EUR 8654.00
LBTYA Liberty Global ...
VMED VIRGIN MEDIA ... (+3)

VirginMedia-O2 (Underweight) Q2 25 – Customer losses and ARPU growth ...

VMO2’s Q2 results show that customer losses and ARPU trends have slipped further in Q2. Although all guidance has been reiterated supported by hopes of a B2B turnaround and near-term cost measures, we think these KPI trends will make it more difficult to sustain organic EBITDA growth into FY26.

LBTYA LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC CLASS A
VMED VIRGIN MEDIA
1475034Z TELEFONICA UK LTD
7h / 38m 7h / 38m 1 EN
James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer
EUR 8654.00
TEF TELEFONICA SA

Telefonica (Neutral, €4.4, -2%) Q2 25 – Solid quarter ahead of strate...

The main event for Telefonica shareholders in H2 will be the strategic review outcome, rather than the Q2 or Q3 results, but nonetheless these are a solid set of results with all guidance reiterated. On one hand, we see upside from consensus FCF for 2025 being too low, but on the other hand, we worry that the outcome of the strategic review might not be as shareholder-friendly in the near-term as some might like.

9h / 5m 9h / 5m 1 EN
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
EUR 8654.00
IDR935 MITRATEL

Mitratel (Buy, IDR 740, +30%) Q2 25 Quick Take: Momentum expected to ...

Trends improved in Q2, supported by strong tower orders from Telkomsel and Indosat – largely driven by ex-Java rollout. Management appears upbeat on second half momentum, underpinned by the BTS pipeline and potential fiber M&A deals. Guidance was maintained.

9h / 50m 9h / 50m 1 EN
Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4327.00
novob NOVO NORDISK

Novo - Oversize Downgrade - PT Cut to DKK300 (SELL, TP DKK300 [350], 8...

Whilst our downgrade to Sell [here] was predicated on reduced Ozempic sales & significantly below cons. forecasts, the magnitude of the ’25 profit warning has led to a material reset of our forecasts & we are now >30% below cons. EBIT in 2029. We expect the debate to now focus on valuation given we model just 5% 25-30 CAGR sales growth & sema accounts for 60% of 2030 EBIT. Worryingly, our EPS declines in 2027 having cut our sales forecasts by 4-9% & EBIT forecasts by 6%-13%. We are now 27% below...

12h / 55m 12h / 55m 1 EN
EUR 717.48

US Cable M&A Update: CHTR / TWC Deal Spread Presents Compelling Opport...

​Investors are still concerned that the CHTR / TWC transaction could be blocked, as evidenced by a deal spread of 9%. The market appears to be giving the deal 50% odds of being approved. We think the market is way off the mark; this deal has high odds of approval.

06/20/15 June 20, 2015 5 EN
Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • Russell Waller
  • Shavar Halberstadt
EUR 1155.60
SRCG Sunrise Communi...
OBEL Orange Belgium ... ... (+5)

New Street: W. Europe Mobile Tariff Tracker Nov 2019: Widespread disco...

The average package price growth in Europe remained steady at +1.9% YoY (from +2.4% YoY in October). Widespread discounting in the UK following Black Friday was offset by higher prices in Spain, Portugal and Austria.

SRCG SUNRISE COMMUNICATIONS GROUP LTD.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
VOD LN VODAFONE GROUP
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS
TEL2A TELE2 A
12/13/19 December 13, 2019 33 EN
Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • Russell Waller
  • Shavar Halberstadt
EUR 1155.60
SRCG Sunrise Communi...
OBEL Orange Belgium ... ... (+5)

New Street: W. Europe Mobile Tariff Tracker Nov 2019: Widespread disco...

The average package price growth in Europe remained steady at +1.9% YoY (from +2.4% YoY in October). Widespread discounting in the UK following Black Friday was offset by higher prices in Spain, Portugal and Austria.

SRCG SUNRISE COMMUNICATIONS GROUP LTD.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
VOD LN VODAFONE GROUP
TC1 TELE COLUMBUS
TEL2A TELE2 A
12/13/19 December 13, 2019 33 EN
Iain Johnston
  • Iain Johnston
EUR 1155.60
700 HK TENCENT

China Internet Daily (28 August 2018)

Tencent's Wealth Management Platform Licaitong Adds Five New Money Market Funds.

08/28/18 August 28, 2018 4 EN
Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4327.00
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
novob NOVO NORDISK ... (+6)

Thematic Research - Quantifying The Impact From Part D Reform

In 2025, Big Pharma will be exposed to further US drug pricing reform as a result of the IRA act. This is the final big change to play out and we calculate there is the potential for a mid-single digit EBIT impact for some companies, but there is material heterogeneity in terms of the magnitude of the impact. There is also the potential for upside for Novo & LLY. However, given the significant complexity in the reimburse-ment changes & in computing the current sales in Medicare Part D, we are re...

NOVN NOVARTIS AG
novob NOVO NORDISK
SAN SANOFI
GSK GLAXOSMITHKLINE PLC
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
ROG ROCHE HOLDING AG
06/10/24 June 10, 2024 1 EN
Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4327.00
novob NOVO NORDISK

Thematic - Obesity Drugs Won’t Change The World

Despite our bullish stance on Novo & the obesity drugs, in this note we aim to show the minimal impact they will have on the broader economy despite recent fears that new obesity drugs will have a material negative impact on a broad range of sectors. We show that these claims are well overblown in the near-term, with only 0.15% of the US population currently on anti-obesity drugs (AODs). Our forecasts, which point to a $50bn US market by 2030, imply that

11/07/23 November 7, 2023 1 EN
Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan
EUR 4327.00
LONN LONZA GROUP AG
EVT EVOTEC SE ... (+7)

Global CDMOs - Impact of Alzheimer's Windfall

Our unique coverage of the biggest CDMO’s allows us to quantify the financial impact on the industry of a potential Alzheimer’s windfall from Biogen’s aducanumab. As the FDA filing draws closer, Biogen are likely to be involved in intense negotiations to find alternative sources of supply. Our highly detailed analysis shows how much aducanumab will need to be produced, who the winners are likely to be, the revenue uplift they may enjoy and the NPV uplift to each player. Lonza & Samsung Bio...

LONN LONZA GROUP AG
EVT EVOTEC SE
CTLT CATALENT INC
BIIB BIOGEN INC.
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
207940 SAMSUNG BIOLOGICS CO. LTD.
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
01/28/20 January 28, 2020 16 EN
James Ratzer ... (+2)
  • James Ratzer
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
EUR 1155.60
VOD LN VODAFONE GROUP

EU Telecoms Sector Upgrade: Time to give the sector a fresh look – V...

European telecoms sector looks attractive – the past is not always a guide for the future: Investors and analysts have been browbeaten with generally poor trends in the European telecoms sector for many years.

12/17/18 December 17, 2018 51 EN
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
PREMIUM
MSFT Microsoft Corpo...

OpenAI: What recently leaked financials tell us about the future of co...

Based on numbers leaked by The Information last week and our expertise in AI infrastructure costs, we estimated the P&L and compute costs that the company anticipates until 2029. We then put OpenAI’s projections into perspective: how do their compute costs compare to our forecast for the industry overall, how does the mix between training and inference compare to our projection, etc.

MSFT MICROSOFT CORPORATION
10/17/24 October 17, 2024 1 EN
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
PREMIUM
TSLA TESLA INC
00285 BYD Electronic ... ... (+7)

Tesla: Deep dive into Chinese competition - Existential threat?

Multiple media reports make it sound like Tesla is under threat in China, from local manufacturers. Is it true? In this note we assess the competitive landscape with an analysis of the cost structure of Tesla relative to peers and its market position by segment.

TSLA TESLA INC
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
XIAOMI XIAOMI CORP
1884656D ZEEKR
10/16/24 October 16, 2024 1 EN
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
PREMIUM
TSLA TESLA INC

Tesla: We, Reboot.

We had the privilege to attend Tesla's "We, Robot" party last night at Warner Bros Studios. Please

10/11/24 October 11, 2024 1 EN

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